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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Urawa Red Diamonds v Tokyo Verdy

Início: 2026-09-19 09:30 UTC

Final: Urawa Red Diamonds 3–1 Tokyo Verdy

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Previsão 51.79%1.93odd justa
EV -2.64%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.71%51.89%51.79%54.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.64%55.56%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tokyo Verdy (Visitante)

Previsão 21.02%4.76odd justa
EV +1.32%
Vantagem +0.273%
Kelly +0.345%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.58%20.94%21.06%22.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.324.284.8225.00%23.17%23.39%20.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.19%3.68odd justa
EV -3.47%
Vantagem -0.978%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.29%27.16%27.15%28.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.363.303.5530.77%29.78%30.30%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 51.79%; Tokyo Verdy (Visitante): 21.02%; Empate: 27.19%. Para Tokyo Verdy (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.76. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.82, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.32%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.96%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.89%EV +1.32%E +0.273%K +0.345%G +0.005%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.15%EV -4.02%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:35
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.20%E -0.256%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 08:26
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.31%E -0.719%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 09:30
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 08:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 08:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:10
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:10
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.34%EV -3.67%E -1.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%EV -7.09%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.05%EV -4.02%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:18
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 12:18
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 12:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.53%EV -11.44%E -6.69%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -8.56%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 09:35
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.36%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.02%EV -6.46%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:14
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 10:01
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 08:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 09:41
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 12:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 12:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 12:23
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:41
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:41
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:41
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 09:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 08:39
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -15.92%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -15.92%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-17 08:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.60%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%3.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.58%3.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-18 15:15