L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Urawa Red Diamonds v Tokyo Verdy

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 09:30 UTC

Score final : Urawa Red Diamonds 3–1 Tokyo Verdy

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Prévision 51.79%1.93cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -3.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.71%51.89%51.79%54.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.801.801.8858.82%55.64%55.56%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tokyo Verdy (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.02%4.76cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.273%
Kelly +0.345%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.58%20.94%21.06%22.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.324.284.8225.00%23.17%23.39%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.19%3.68cote équitable
EV -3.47%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.29%27.16%27.15%28.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.363.303.5530.77%29.78%30.30%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Urawa Red Diamonds (Local) : 51.79% ; Tokyo Verdy (Visiteur) : 21.02% ; Match nul : 27.19%. Pour Tokyo Verdy (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.76. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.82, soit une espérance positive de +1.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.96%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.89%EV +1.32%E +0.273%K +0.345%G +0.005%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.15%EV -4.02%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:35
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV +0.897%E +0.187%K +0.236%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.94%EV -3.47%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 09:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -11.96%E -7.03%K -17.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -1.20%E -0.256%K -0.326%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 08:26
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.48%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.31%E -0.719%K -0.919%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 09:30
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.19%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 08:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 08:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:10
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -5.41%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-14 19:10
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.34%EV -3.67%E -1.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%EV -7.09%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.05%EV -4.02%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 12:20
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:18
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 12:25
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -8.33%E -4.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.83%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 12:18
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.89%EV -5.74%E -3.16%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 12:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.53%EV -11.44%E -6.69%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.65%EV -8.56%E -1.97%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.82%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 09:35
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.69%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.89%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-14 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.36%EV -6.26%E -3.46%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.02%EV -6.46%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:14
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 10:01
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.19%EV -7.82%E -4.39%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%EV -9.61%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 08:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.92%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.01%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 09:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -2.64%E -1.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 09:41
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.91%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 12:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 12:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-17 12:23
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:40
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:41
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:41
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:41
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 09:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 09:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 09:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -6.78%E -3.77%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -8.85%E -5.03%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -13.82%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.55%E -2.22%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-17 08:39
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -9.37%E -5.35%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -15.92%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.63%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.92%E -6.35%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -15.92%E -3.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.71%EV -10.27%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-17 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.60%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%3.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.58%3.6%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-09-18 15:15