Language:English
Urawa Red Diamonds v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)
Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV +0.870%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.16%25.37%25.37%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.613.603.9830.30%27.70%27.78%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit)
Prediction 48.28%2.07fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%48.29%48.28%49.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.902.0254.64%52.39%52.49%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.38%3.79fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.647%
Kelly -0.887%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.33%26.35%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.503.503.7029.41%28.56%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 25.34%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit): 48.28%; Draw: 26.38%. For Urawa Red Diamonds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.870%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.26%EV +0.870%E +0.219%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -2.92%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.69%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 10:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.69%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.50%EV -5.47%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.90%E -2.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -4.24%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -8.00%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.40%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.52%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 08:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.72%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.39%E -0.647%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.39%E -0.647%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.66%E -6.37%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.36%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98% | -0.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |