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Urawa Red Diamonds v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

2026-08-15 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Prediction 24.35%4.11fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%24.36%24.36%25.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.803.9529.41%26.72%26.32%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit)

Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.92%48.87%49.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.901.9655.56%53.15%52.63%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV +0.308%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.112%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.72%26.77%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.7531.25%29.36%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 24.35%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit): 48.91%; Draw: 26.75%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.308%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.27%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -5.61%E -2.91%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV +0.308%E +0.082%K +0.112%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 12:14
1xBet🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.56%EV -5.30%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.75%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.69%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 13:14
Pinnacle🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -3.83%E -0.971%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.61%E -2.91%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.27%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.10%E -3.18%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 13:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.70%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -5.12%E -2.64%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:40
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.05%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.08%E -3.73%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.49%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:09
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.05%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.55%E -4.57%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 11:38
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.92%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.06%E -4.29%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 12:15
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.49%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.08%E -3.73%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:39
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.49%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.08%E -3.73%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 11:35
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.70%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.52%E -5.15%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 11:40
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.36%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -10.50%E -5.74%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -9.05%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -14.79%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -10.99%E -6.04%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 11:35
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.49%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.73%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.49%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.73%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.49%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.73%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 11:45
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.49%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.59%E -3.45%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.73%E -3.55%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -12.36%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.55%EV -11.48%E -6.34%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -12.36%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -11.97%E -6.65%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -17.22%E -5.07%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -11.97%E -6.65%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-08 11:40
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -14.79%E -4.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.97%E -6.65%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -14.40%E -4.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-08 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.92%10.9%2026-08-08 13:15