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Urawa Red Diamonds v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)
Predicción 25.34%3.95momio equitativo
EV +0.870%
Ventaja +0.219%
Kelly +0.292%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.16%25.37%25.37%26.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.613.603.9830.30%27.70%27.78%25.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante)
Predicción 48.28%2.07momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%48.29%48.28%49.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.911.902.0254.64%52.39%52.49%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.38%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.647%
Kelly -0.887%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.33%26.35%27.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.503.503.7029.41%28.56%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 25.34%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante): 48.28%; Empate: 26.38%. Para Urawa Red Diamonds (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.95. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.98, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.870%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.26%EV +0.870%E +0.219%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -2.92%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.69%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 10:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.69%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.50%EV -5.47%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.90%E -2.49%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -4.24%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -8.00%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.40%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.52%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 08:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.72%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 06:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.39%E -0.647%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.39%E -0.647%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.66%E -6.37%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.36%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98% | -0.0% | 2026-08-15 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |