Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Urawa Red Diamonds v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Score final : Urawa Red Diamonds 1–4 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Prévision 25.34%3.95cote équitable
EV +0.870%
Avantage +0.219%
Kelly +0.292%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.16%25.37%25.37%26.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.613.603.9830.30%27.70%27.78%25.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.28%2.07cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.09%48.29%48.28%49.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.911.902.0254.64%52.39%52.49%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.38%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.647%
Kelly -0.887%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.33%26.35%27.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.503.503.7029.41%28.56%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Urawa Red Diamonds (Local) : 25.34% ; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur) : 48.28% ; Match nul : 26.38%. Pour Urawa Red Diamonds (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.95. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.98, soit une espérance positive de +0.870%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.26%EV +0.870%E +0.219%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -2.92%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.69%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 10:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.69%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:29
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:50
1xBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.50%EV -5.47%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.90%E -2.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -4.24%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:50
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:34
BetAnything🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:35
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:50
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:50
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -8.00%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.40%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.52%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 09:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:30
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 06:24
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:19
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:54
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:55
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:49
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:30
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 09:30
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:34
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.39%E -0.647%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:50
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.39%E -0.647%K -0.887%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 09:35
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.66%E -6.37%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 09:19
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:19
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:19
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 09:29
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.36%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 09:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-08-15 09:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-08-15 09:55
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-08-15 09:55
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%2.6%2026-08-15 09:55