Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Urawa Red Diamonds v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Início: 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Final: Urawa Red Diamonds 1–4 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Urawa Red Diamonds (Local)

Previsão 25.34%3.95odd justa
EV +0.870%
Vantagem +0.219%
Kelly +0.292%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.16%25.37%25.37%26.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.613.603.9830.30%27.70%27.78%25.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante)

Previsão 48.28%2.07odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.09%48.29%48.28%49.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.902.0254.64%52.39%52.49%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.38%3.79odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -0.647%
Kelly -0.887%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.22%26.33%26.35%27.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.503.503.7029.41%28.56%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Urawa Red Diamonds (Local): 25.34%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante): 48.28%; Empate: 26.38%. Para Urawa Red Diamonds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.95. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.98, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.870%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 24.26%EV +0.870%E +0.219%K +0.292%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.51%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.23%EV -2.92%E -0.794%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.69%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 10:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -3.69%E -0.971%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -4.20%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.21%EV -6.09%E -1.71%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:49
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 09:29
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:50
1xBet🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.50%EV -5.47%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.90%E -2.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.21%EV -4.24%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 09:50
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:34
BetAnything🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:35
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:50
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
betPARX🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:50
Casumo🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.89%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -6.23%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.11%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 25.07%EV -8.00%E -2.20%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.40%EV -9.24%E -4.92%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.52%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 09:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.48%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:30
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.72%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 06:24
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 09:19
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:54
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:55
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:49
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 09:30
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.31%E -3.81%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 09:30
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.76%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:34
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.86%E -3.01%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.39%E -0.647%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 09:50
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.39%E -0.647%K -0.887%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 09:35
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.29%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.66%E -6.37%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 09:44
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.35%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 09:19
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.03%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.28%E -4.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:19
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:19
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -7.79%E -4.08%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 09:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -10.21%E -5.49%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 09:29
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.36%E -4.96%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.69%E -5.78%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -7.67%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 09:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98%-0.0%2026-08-15 09:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.30%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-08-15 09:55
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.63%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-08-15 09:55
Smarkets◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.98%2.6%2026-08-15 09:55