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Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Tokyo Verdy (Хозяева)
Прогноз 20.96%4.77справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.28%
Преимущество -0.271%
Kelly -0.344%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.71
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.03%20.97%20.96%22.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.334.284.7125.00%23.07%23.39%21.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Kashiwa Reysol (Гости)
Прогноз 50.97%1.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.16%
Преимущество -1.66%
Kelly -3.51%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.69%50.97%51.02%52.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.821.831.9057.14%54.82%54.64%52.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.07%3.56справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.87%
Преимущество -0.830%
Kelly -1.17%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.46
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.03%28.06%28.03%28.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.263.253.4632.26%30.66%30.77%28.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Tokyo Verdy (Хозяева): 20.96%; Kashiwa Reysol (Гости): 50.97%; Ничья: 28.07%. Для исхода «Tokyo Verdy (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.77. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.71, математическое ожидание — -1.28%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.53%EV -1.28%E -0.271%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.44%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.778%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 09:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.778%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 09:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.73%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.80%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 09:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.24%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.24%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.11%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 09:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -2.87%E -0.830%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-14 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -14.06%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -14.06%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.16%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.30%E -5.85%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 09:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |