Idioma:Español
Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tokyo Verdy (Local)
Predicción 20.96%4.77momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.271%
Kelly -0.344%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.03%20.97%20.96%22.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.334.284.7125.00%23.07%23.39%21.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante)
Predicción 50.97%1.96momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.69%50.97%51.02%52.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.821.831.9057.14%54.82%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.07%3.56momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -0.830%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%28.06%28.03%28.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.263.253.4632.26%30.66%30.77%28.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 20.96%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante): 50.97%; Empate: 28.07%. Para Tokyo Verdy (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.77. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.71, con un valor esperado de -1.28%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.53%EV -1.28%E -0.271%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.44%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.778%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 09:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.778%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 09:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.73%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.80%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 09:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.24%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.24%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.11%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 09:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -2.87%E -0.830%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-14 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -14.06%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -14.06%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.16%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.30%E -5.85%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 09:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |