Langue:Français
Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tokyo Verdy (Local)
Prévision 20.96%4.77cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.271%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.03%20.97%20.96%22.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.334.284.7125.00%23.07%23.39%21.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur)
Prévision 50.97%1.96cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.69%50.97%51.02%52.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.821.831.9057.14%54.82%54.64%52.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.07%3.56cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -0.830%
Kelly -1.17%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.03%28.06%28.03%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.263.253.4632.26%30.66%30.77%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tokyo Verdy (Local) : 20.96% ; Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur) : 50.97% ; Match nul : 28.07%. Pour Tokyo Verdy (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.77. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.71, pour une espérance de -1.28% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.53%EV -1.28%E -0.271%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.44%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.778%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 09:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.778%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 09:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:33 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 09:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.73%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.80%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 09:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 09:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.24%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.24%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-14 09:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 09:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.11%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 09:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -2.87%E -0.830%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 09:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-14 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -14.06%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -14.06%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.16%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.30%E -5.85%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-14 09:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 09:50 |