Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tokyo Verdy v Kashiwa Reysol

Início: 2026-08-14 10:00 UTC

Final: Tokyo Verdy 1–3 Kashiwa Reysol

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tokyo Verdy (Local)

Previsão 20.96%4.77odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.271%
Kelly -0.344%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.03%20.97%20.96%22.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.334.284.7125.00%23.07%23.39%21.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante)

Previsão 50.97%1.96odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.69%50.97%51.02%52.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.821.831.9057.14%54.82%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.07%3.56odd justa
EV -2.87%
Vantagem -0.830%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.03%28.06%28.03%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.263.253.4632.26%30.66%30.77%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 20.96%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante): 50.97%; Empate: 28.07%. Para Tokyo Verdy (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.77. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.71, com valor esperado de -1.28%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.71I 21.23%NM 20.53%EV -1.28%E -0.271%K -0.344%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.44%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 09:24
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 09:24
BetAnything🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -1.48%E -0.316%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.68%EV -5.20%E -2.80%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -3.15%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 09:24
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.778%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 09:53
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -3.58%E -0.778%K -0.995%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.05%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 09:44
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 09:43
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 09:44
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 09:55
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 09:33
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.68%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 09:44
Marathon Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.73%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.96%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.80%E -2.05%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 09:55
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.50%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 07:14
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 09:54
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.77%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 09:54
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.56%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 09:38
Betsson🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 09:40
NordicBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.82%E -2.03%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 09:39
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.24%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 09:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.24%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 09:54
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 09:45
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.06%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -9.87%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.11%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.74%EV -7.92%E -2.42%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 09:38
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:05
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:04
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:04
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:05
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:04
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:04
Svenska Spel🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -10.92%E -2.57%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 09:05
1xBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%EV -3.16%E -1.66%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -2.87%E -0.830%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 09:49
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.77%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 07:14
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 09:05
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-14 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 09:35
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 09:34
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 09:35
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -11.97%E -2.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.47%EV -10.81%E -6.18%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -12.98%E -4.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-14 09:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -14.06%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.88%EV -9.28%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -5.96%E -1.78%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 09:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -14.06%E -3.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 07:14
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -16.16%E -4.04%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68%EV -10.30%E -5.85%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-14 09:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.76%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-14 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-08-14 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-08-14 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-08-14 09:55
Matchbook◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-08-14 09:55
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-08-14 09:50