Language:English
Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy (Local)
Prediction 41.23%2.43fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.42%41.35%43.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.222.232.3848.08%45.02%44.84%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
JEF United Chiba (Visit)
Prediction 29.29%3.41fair odd
EV -0.413%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.16%29.10%29.27%29.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.67%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.48%3.39fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.792%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.27%29.48%29.38%30.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.153.3333.33%32.05%31.75%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 41.23%; JEF United Chiba (Visit): 29.29%; Draw: 29.48%. For JEF United Chiba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.413%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.10%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.08%EV -6.40%E -2.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.27%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.46%E -3.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.46%E -3.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -9.70%E -4.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV -0.706%E -0.208%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -1.85%E -0.554%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.413%E -0.122%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 08:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.93%EV -14.23%E -6.84%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -6.86%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.22%E -2.99%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 08:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 1.8% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |