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Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Tokyo Verdy (Хозяева)
Прогноз 41.23%2.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.86%
Преимущество -0.783%
Kelly -1.35%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.38
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.20%41.42%41.35%43.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.082.222.232.3848.08%45.02%44.84%42.02%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
JEF United Chiba (Гости)
Прогноз 29.29%3.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.413%
Преимущество -0.122%
Kelly -0.172%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.16%29.10%29.27%29.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.67%31.75%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.48%3.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.85%
Преимущество -0.554%
Kelly -0.792%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.27%29.48%29.38%30.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.123.153.3333.33%32.05%31.75%30.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Tokyo Verdy (Хозяева): 41.23%; JEF United Chiba (Гости): 29.29%; Ничья: 29.48%. Для исхода «JEF United Chiba (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.41. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.40, математическое ожидание — -0.413%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.10%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.08%EV -6.40%E -2.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.27%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.46%E -3.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.46%E -3.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -9.70%E -4.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV -0.706%E -0.208%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -1.85%E -0.554%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.413%E -0.122%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 08:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.93%EV -14.23%E -6.84%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -6.86%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.22%E -2.99%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 08:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 1.8% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |