Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba

Início: 2026-09-13 09:00 UTC

Final: Tokyo Verdy 1–1 JEF United Chiba

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tokyo Verdy (Local)

Previsão 41.23%2.43odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -0.783%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.20%41.42%41.35%43.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.222.232.3848.08%45.02%44.84%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

JEF United Chiba (Visitante)

Previsão 29.29%3.41odd justa
EV -0.413%
Vantagem -0.122%
Kelly -0.172%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.16%29.10%29.27%29.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.67%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.48%3.39odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -0.554%
Kelly -0.792%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.27%29.48%29.38%30.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.123.153.3333.33%32.05%31.75%30.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 41.23%; JEF United Chiba (Visitante): 29.29%; Empate: 29.48%. Para JEF United Chiba (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.41. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.40, com valor esperado de -0.413%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 08:56
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 08:56
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.10%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 08:55
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 08:56
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 08:55
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 08:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 08:05
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 08:56
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.08%EV -6.40%E -2.82%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.27%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 08:56
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 08:56
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 08:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:55
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 09:15
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 08:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 08:05
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 08:05
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 08:05
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 08:03
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.46%E -3.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 08:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.46%E -3.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 08:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 08:15
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 08:16
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 08:56
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 09:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 09:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 08:56
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 08:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 08:56
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 08:56
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -9.70%E -4.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV -0.706%E -0.208%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -1.85%E -0.554%K -0.792%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 08:56
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 08:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.413%E -0.122%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 08:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 08:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 08:16
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 08:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 08:16
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.93%EV -14.23%E -6.84%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -6.86%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.22%E -2.99%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 08:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-09-13 08:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-09-13 08:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-09-13 08:56
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-09-13 08:56
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-09-13 08:56
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%1.8%2026-09-13 08:56