Idioma:Español
Tokyo Verdy v JEF United Chiba
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tokyo Verdy (Local)
Predicción 41.23%2.43momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.783%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.20%41.42%41.35%43.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.082.222.232.3848.08%45.02%44.84%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
JEF United Chiba (Visitante)
Predicción 29.29%3.41momio equitativo
EV -0.413%
Ventaja -0.122%
Kelly -0.172%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.16%29.10%29.27%29.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.153.4033.33%31.67%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.48%3.39momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.554%
Kelly -0.792%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.27%29.48%29.38%30.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.123.153.3333.33%32.05%31.75%30.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tokyo Verdy (Local): 41.23%; JEF United Chiba (Visitante): 29.29%; Empate: 29.48%. Para JEF United Chiba (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.41. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.40, con un valor esperado de -0.413%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.58%EV -4.22%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -1.86%E -0.783%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.10%E -1.32%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.43%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.16%E -2.24%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -5.99%E -2.63%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.08%EV -6.40%E -2.82%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.27%E -1.97%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.81%E -1.48%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.22%E -3.21%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -8.05%E -3.61%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.46%E -3.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.31%EV -8.46%E -3.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.34%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 09:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.28%E -4.22%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -9.70%E -4.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.04%EV -0.706%E -0.208%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -1.85%E -0.554%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.67%E -3.50%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.35%E -5.28%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -12.13%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -0.413%E -0.122%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.68%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.74%E -2.46%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-13 08:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -13.41%E -6.38%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -9.20%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 08:16 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.93%EV -14.23%E -6.84%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.08%EV -6.86%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -9.22%E -2.99%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 08:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 1.8% | 2026-09-13 08:56 |