Language:English
Shimizu S Pulse v JEF United Chiba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shimizu S Pulse (Local)
Prediction 49.86%2.01fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.57%49.80%49.81%51.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.49%53.62%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
JEF United Chiba (Visit)
Prediction 23.46%4.26fair odd
EV +0.883%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.267%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.49%23.66%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.843.804.3028.17%26.04%26.32%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.90%26.71%26.53%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.423.403.6030.30%29.28%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 49.86%; JEF United Chiba (Visit): 23.46%; Draw: 26.68%. For JEF United Chiba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.883%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +0.883%E +0.205%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +0.883%E +0.205%K +0.267%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.38%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.75%EV -0.760%E -0.180%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.88%EV -4.50%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 03:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.40%EV -4.28%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.60%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 03:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.76%E -3.61%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 03:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 03:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 03:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.38%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-16 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.76%E -3.61%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -8.25%E -4.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 03:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.41%EV -10.75%E -6.00%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 09:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.25%E -5.08%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 10:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-15 00:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 03:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -12.49%E -3.35%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.10%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-18 04:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.27%EV -8.25%E -4.48%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-17 12:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60% | 3.0% | 2026-09-18 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78% | 11.5% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |