L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Shimizu S Pulse v JEF United Chiba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 09:30 UTC

Score final : Shimizu S Pulse 2–1 JEF United Chiba

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shimizu S Pulse (Local)

Prévision 49.86%2.01cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.57%49.80%49.81%51.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.49%53.62%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

JEF United Chiba (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV +0.883%
Avantage +0.205%
Kelly +0.267%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.26%23.49%23.66%24.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.843.804.3028.17%26.04%26.32%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.68%3.75cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.90%26.71%26.53%27.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.423.403.6030.30%29.28%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shimizu S Pulse (Local) : 49.86% ; JEF United Chiba (Visiteur) : 23.46% ; Match nul : 26.68%. Pour JEF United Chiba (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.26. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.883%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +0.883%E +0.205%K +0.267%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +0.883%E +0.205%K +0.267%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.38%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.75%EV -0.760%E -0.180%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.88%EV -4.50%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 03:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 12:15
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.40%EV -4.28%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.60%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:23
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 03:04
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.76%E -3.61%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 11:34
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 03:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 03:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 03:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.38%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.76%E -3.61%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -8.25%E -4.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 03:04
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:14
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:45
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.41%EV -10.75%E -6.00%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.25%E -5.08%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 03:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -12.49%E -3.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.10%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.27%EV -8.25%E -4.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 12:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-09-18 13:25
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%3.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%6.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%11.5%2026-09-18 15:25