Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Shimizu S Pulse v JEF United Chiba

2026-09-19 09:30 UTC — J League

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Shimizu S Pulse (Casa)

Previsione 49.86%2.01quota equa
EV -5.77%
Vantaggio -3.05%
Kelly -6.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.19%49.91%49.76%50.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.841.851.8957.14%54.40%54.05%52.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

JEF United Chiba (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.76%4.21quota equa
EV -4.47%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.10%23.74%23.85%24.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.853.854.0227.78%25.99%25.97%24.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.38%3.79quota equa
EV -1.08%
Vantaggio -0.288%
Kelly -0.393%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.43%26.35%26.39%27.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.473.403.7531.25%28.81%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Shimizu S Pulse (Casa): 49.86%; JEF United Chiba (Trasferta): 23.76%; Pareggio: 26.38%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.79. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.75, con un valore atteso del -1.08%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.50%EV -5.77%E -3.05%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.92%EV -5.18%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.59%EV -1.61%E -0.431%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 11:00
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -1.08%E -0.288%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.51%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.62%EV -4.47%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.87%EV -3.19%E -0.870%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -6.27%E -3.33%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 10:51
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.77%E -3.62%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 09:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -3.98%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 10:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 09:16
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 10:06
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-13 10:06
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 11:11
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 11:11
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.76%E -4.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 11:11
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.94%EV -8.26%E -4.49%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 09:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.76%E -4.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 09:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -10.26%E -5.70%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 09:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.63%EV -10.26%E -5.70%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -8.99%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -11.25%E -6.32%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 10:06
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.63%EV -11.75%E -6.64%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.63%EV -11.75%E -6.64%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.95%E -3.92%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 10:04
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.19%EV -12.75%E -7.29%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -15.59%E -4.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-13 09:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (2)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.07%10.9%2026-09-13 14:50
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 48.67%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%16.7%2026-09-13 10:06