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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Shimizu S Pulse v JEF United Chiba

Início: 2026-09-19 09:30 UTC

Final: Shimizu S Pulse 2–1 JEF United Chiba

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shimizu S Pulse (Local)

Previsão 49.86%2.01odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.57%49.80%49.81%51.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.49%53.62%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

JEF United Chiba (Visitante)

Previsão 23.46%4.26odd justa
EV +0.883%
Vantagem +0.205%
Kelly +0.267%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.26%23.49%23.66%24.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.843.804.3028.17%26.04%26.32%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.68%3.75odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -1.10%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.90%26.71%26.53%27.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.423.403.6030.30%29.28%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shimizu S Pulse (Local): 49.86%; JEF United Chiba (Visitante): 23.46%; Empate: 26.68%. Para JEF United Chiba (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.26. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.883%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +0.883%E +0.205%K +0.267%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.26%EV +0.883%E +0.205%K +0.267%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.38%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.75%EV -0.760%E -0.180%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.88%EV -4.50%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-18 15:25
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 03:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 12:15
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.40%EV -4.28%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.60%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:23
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 03:04
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -6.76%E -3.61%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 11:34
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 03:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 03:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 15:19
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 03:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -7.25%E -3.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.38%EV -6.62%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-16 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -5.26%E -2.77%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -6.76%E -3.61%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 04:30
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -8.25%E -4.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 03:04
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -6.26%E -3.33%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:14
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:45
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.39%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-17 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.41%EV -10.75%E -6.00%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 09:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.25%E -5.08%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -7.75%E -4.19%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 00:51
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -2.77%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-16 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 03:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.59%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.93%EV -12.49%E -3.35%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.10%E -3.00%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-17 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-16 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.67%EV -3.76%E -1.95%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 17:05
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:30
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 04:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -4.76%E -2.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.27%EV -8.25%E -4.48%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -6.63%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-17 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.10%EV -10.25%E -5.69%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -16.71%E -4.71%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -9.30%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-17 12:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-09-18 13:25
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%3.0%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%6.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%11.5%2026-09-18 15:25