Language:English
Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus (Local)
Prediction 33.73%2.96fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.600%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.90%33.99%33.75%37.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.662.652.9340.82%37.66%37.74%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fagiano Okayama (Visit)
Prediction 38.33%2.61fair odd
EV +0.809%
Edge +0.308%
Kelly +0.496%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.95%38.08%38.40%39.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.452.6344.44%40.46%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.93%3.58fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -0.891%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.94%27.85%28.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.40%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 33.73%; Fagiano Okayama (Visit): 38.33%; Draw: 27.93%. For Fagiano Okayama (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.809%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -2.26%E -0.885%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -1.16%E -0.395%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -3.41%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -13.98%E -5.48%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -8.24%E -3.03%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.86%E -2.82%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -4.46%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.90%EV -2.51%E -0.867%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.29%EV -7.24%E -2.99%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -4.46%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.22%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.80%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.02%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -13.76%E -6.11%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |