Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama

Início: 2026-08-29 10:00 UTC

Final: Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Fagiano Okayama

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nagoya Grampus (Local)

Previsão 33.73%2.96odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.395%
Kelly -0.600%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.90%33.99%33.75%37.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.662.652.9340.82%37.66%37.74%34.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fagiano Okayama (Visitante)

Previsão 38.33%2.61odd justa
EV +0.809%
Vantagem +0.308%
Kelly +0.496%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.95%38.08%38.40%39.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.472.452.6344.44%40.46%40.82%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.93%3.58odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -0.637%
Kelly -0.891%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.59%27.94%27.85%28.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.40%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 33.73%; Fagiano Okayama (Visitante): 38.33%; Empate: 27.93%. Para Fagiano Okayama (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.61. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.63, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.809%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:01
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:05
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:00
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -2.26%E -0.885%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -1.16%E -0.395%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -3.41%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 09:55
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 08:46
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 09:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:46
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:46
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 08:46
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -13.98%E -5.48%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 08:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -8.24%E -3.03%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.86%E -2.82%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -4.46%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:55
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.90%EV -2.51%E -0.867%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.29%EV -7.24%E -2.99%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -4.46%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 09:46
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 08:46
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 08:45
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.22%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.80%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:50
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 09:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.02%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 09:46
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -13.76%E -6.11%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 09:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-29 09:50
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-29 09:50