Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 10:00 UTC

Score final : Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Fagiano Okayama

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Nagoya Grampus (Local)

Prévision 33.73%2.96cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.600%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.90%33.99%33.75%37.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.662.652.9340.82%37.66%37.74%34.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fagiano Okayama (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.33%2.61cote équitable
EV +0.809%
Avantage +0.308%
Kelly +0.496%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.95%38.08%38.40%39.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.452.6344.44%40.46%40.82%38.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.93%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.637%
Kelly -0.891%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.59%27.94%27.85%28.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.40%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nagoya Grampus (Local) : 33.73% ; Fagiano Okayama (Visiteur) : 38.33% ; Match nul : 27.93%. Pour Fagiano Okayama (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.61. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.63, soit une espérance positive de +0.809%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:01
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:01
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:05
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 09:00
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -2.26%E -0.885%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 08:45
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -1.16%E -0.395%K -0.600%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -3.41%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-29 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 09:55
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 09:55
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 08:46
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 09:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 09:45
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:46
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 09:46
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 08:46
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -13.98%E -5.48%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 08:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -8.24%E -3.03%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.86%E -2.82%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -4.46%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:55
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.90%EV -2.51%E -0.867%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.29%EV -7.24%E -2.99%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -4.46%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 09:46
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 09:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 08:46
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-29 08:45
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.22%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.80%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:50
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 09:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 09:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.02%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 09:46
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 09:50
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 09:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-29 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -13.76%E -6.11%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 09:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Matchbook◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-29 09:55
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-29 09:50
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-29 09:50