Idioma:Español
Nagoya Grampus v Fagiano Okayama
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nagoya Grampus (Local)
Predicción 33.73%2.96momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.600%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.90%33.99%33.75%37.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.662.652.9340.82%37.66%37.74%34.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fagiano Okayama (Visitante)
Predicción 38.33%2.61momio equitativo
EV +0.809%
Ventaja +0.308%
Kelly +0.496%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.95%38.08%38.40%39.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.452.6344.44%40.46%40.82%38.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.93%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.637%
Kelly -0.891%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%27.94%27.85%28.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.40%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Nagoya Grampus (Local): 33.73%; Fagiano Okayama (Visitante): 38.33%; Empate: 27.93%. Para Fagiano Okayama (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.61. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.63, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.809%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV +0.809%E +0.308%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -15.66%E -6.27%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -17.35%E -7.08%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -0.341%E -0.131%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -2.26%E -0.885%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.23%E -0.637%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -1.16%E -0.395%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -3.41%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.05%EV -2.17%E -0.748%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.42%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -13.98%E -5.48%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.31%EV -8.24%E -3.03%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -6.86%E -2.82%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -4.46%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.90%EV -2.51%E -0.867%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.29%EV -7.24%E -2.99%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.80%EV -4.46%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.54%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -13.40%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.22%E -2.24%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.80%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -11.28%E -4.29%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.77%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.02%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -12.01%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -11.62%E -4.43%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.16%E -3.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.61%E -3.32%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.23%E -2.63%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.92%E -4.22%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.60%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -5.02%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -9.21%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-29 09:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -12.29%E -4.73%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.84%E -5.15%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -13.76%E -6.11%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -7.81%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |