Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.10
assuming max odds 1.78
assuming max odds 3.84
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mito HollyHock (Local): 19.63%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 54.92%; Draw: 25.45%. For Mito HollyHock (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.105%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.72%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.72%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -0.877%E -0.174%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.80%EV -2.26%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.04I 19.84%NM 19.14%EV -1.07%E -0.213%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.12%EV -2.26%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -3.28%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -3.82%E -0.780%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 08:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-02 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -8.73%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.81%EV -8.84%E -5.32%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.41%EV -8.88%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 09:48 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 55.95%EV -12.68%E -7.98%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.86%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.86%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-02 08:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.84%E -5.32%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 09:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -15.01%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-02 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -15.60%E -3.63%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.62%EV -9.93%E -6.06%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -16.58%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -17.56%E -4.18%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 08:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.29% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90% | 0.4% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 09:45 |