Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mito HollyHock v Kashima Antlers

2026-09-02 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mito HollyHock (Local)

Prediction 24.29%4.12fair odd
EV -6.47%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.18%24.29%24.29%24.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.803.803.8526.67%26.34%26.32%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visit)

Prediction 46.86%2.13fair odd
EV -6.28%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -6.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.52%46.86%46.86%46.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.941.971.972.0051.55%50.76%50.76%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV -7.69%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.85%28.85%28.85%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.163.153.2031.75%31.60%31.75%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mito HollyHock (Local): 24.29%; Kashima Antlers (Visit): 46.86%; Draw: 28.85%. For Kashima Antlers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -6.28%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.47%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.47%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -6.28%E -3.14%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 10:05
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 10:05
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -7.22%E -3.65%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 10:05
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 10:05
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 10:05
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 10:05
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -7.69%E -3.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.62%E -4.42%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -8.90%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.09%E -4.69%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.69%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.73%15.8%2026-08-28 12:55