Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mito HollyHock v Kashima Antlers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

Score final : Mito HollyHock 4–2 Kashima Antlers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mito HollyHock (Local)

Prévision 19.63%5.09cote équitable
EV +0.105%
Avantage +0.021%
Kelly +0.026%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.39%19.69%19.71%21.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.614.505.1023.81%21.69%22.22%19.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kashima Antlers (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.92%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.61%54.79%54.88%56.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.591.701.701.7862.89%58.81%58.82%56.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.45%3.93cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.588%
Kelly -0.795%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.32%25.52%25.41%27.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.563.503.8429.41%28.05%28.57%26.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mito HollyHock (Local) : 19.63% ; Kashima Antlers (Visiteur) : 54.92% ; Match nul : 25.45%. Pour Mito HollyHock (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.09. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.105%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.72%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.72%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:55
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -0.877%E -0.174%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.80%EV -2.26%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:55
Pinnacle🎯5.04I 19.84%NM 19.14%EV -1.07%E -0.213%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.12%EV -2.26%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 09:55
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -3.28%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:55
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -3.82%E -0.780%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:55
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 09:10
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 08:19
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:49
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 08:50
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:00
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -8.73%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.81%EV -8.84%E -5.32%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.41%EV -8.88%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:45
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.95%EV -12.68%E -7.98%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:35
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.86%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.86%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 09:15
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 09:15
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 08:50
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 08:19
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:14
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:15
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 09:55
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:10
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:10
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.84%E -5.32%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:15
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -15.01%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 08:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -15.60%E -3.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.62%EV -9.93%E -6.06%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:00
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -16.58%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -17.56%E -4.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 08:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-09-02 09:45