Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mito HollyHock v Kashima Antlers

Início: 2026-09-02 10:00 UTC

Final: Mito HollyHock 4–2 Kashima Antlers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mito HollyHock (Local)

Previsão 19.63%5.09odd justa
EV +0.105%
Vantagem +0.021%
Kelly +0.026%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.39%19.69%19.71%21.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.614.505.1023.81%21.69%22.22%19.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kashima Antlers (Visitante)

Previsão 54.92%1.82odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -2.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.61%54.79%54.88%56.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.591.701.701.7862.89%58.81%58.82%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.45%3.93odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.588%
Kelly -0.795%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.32%25.52%25.41%27.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.563.503.8429.41%28.05%28.57%26.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mito HollyHock (Local): 19.63%; Kashima Antlers (Visitante): 54.92%; Empate: 25.45%. Para Mito HollyHock (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.09. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.105%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.72%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:50
BetOnline.ag🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.72%EV +0.105%E +0.021%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.83%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:55
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.86%EV -0.877%E -0.174%K -0.216%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.80%EV -2.26%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 09:55
Pinnacle🎯5.04I 19.84%NM 19.14%EV -1.07%E -0.213%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.99%E -2.89%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.12%EV -2.26%E -0.588%K -0.795%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 09:55
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.80%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -3.28%E -0.862%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 09:55
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -1.86%E -0.372%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -3.82%E -0.780%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.57%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.37%EV -6.33%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:55
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.37%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 09:10
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 08:19
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.95%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:49
SportsBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.61%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 08:50
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.78%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -7.19%E -4.25%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 09:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:00
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.77%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.64%E -3.91%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 09:50
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.76%EV -8.73%E -1.88%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.71%EV -7.74%E -4.61%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.81%EV -8.84%E -5.32%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.41%EV -8.88%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 09:45
NordicBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -9.71%E -2.11%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 55.95%EV -12.68%E -7.98%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 09:35
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -2.25%E -1.26%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 08:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.86%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.86%EV -2.80%E -1.58%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 09:15
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.94%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 09:15
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -6.09%E -3.56%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 08:50
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 08:19
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:14
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -9.39%E -5.69%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-02 09:15
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -11.67%E -2.59%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.03%E -6.81%K -17.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.37%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-02 09:55
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:10
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:10
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.84%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 09:15
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.84%E -5.32%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.64%E -3.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.93%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 09:15
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -15.01%E -3.47%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.29%E -4.96%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.17%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-02 08:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -15.60%E -3.63%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.62%EV -9.93%E -6.06%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 09:00
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -16.58%E -3.90%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -4.44%E -2.55%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.64%E -2.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-02 08:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -17.56%E -4.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -5.54%E -3.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 08:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.29%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%0.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-09-02 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-02 09:55
Smarkets◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-09-02 09:45