The School of Odds
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Mito HollyHock v Gamba Osaka

2026-08-15 09:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mito HollyHock (Local)

Prediction 33.80%2.96fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%33.83%33.70%34.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.722.8440.00%37.04%36.76%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gamba Osaka (Visit)

Prediction 37.11%2.69fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.12%36.99%38.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.502.6043.48%40.58%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.09%3.44fair odd
EV +0.354%
Edge +0.103%
Kelly +0.145%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.13%29.05%29.31%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.133.4533.33%31.70%32.00%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Mito HollyHock (Local): 33.80%; Gamba Osaka (Visit): 37.11%; Draw: 29.09%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.45, producing a positive expected value of +0.354%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV +0.354%E +0.103%K +0.145%G +0.001%6.8%2026-08-08 11:44
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.10%E -0.324%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 11:49
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -1.10%E -0.324%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 11:44
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -11.68%E -4.91%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.01%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 11:45
1xBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.62%EV -4.00%E -1.41%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.01%EV -4.26%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.38%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 11:55
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -5.46%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.71%EV -4.34%E -1.53%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.84%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.45%EV -5.75%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 12:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.94%E -4.56%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -6.37%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.48%E -2.57%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.50%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:49
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.06%E -2.96%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.48%E -2.57%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:44
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -8.06%E -2.96%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -6.48%E -2.57%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.37%E -2.66%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -3.52%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -13.80%E -5.41%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:45
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -15.49%E -6.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.65%E -6.37%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-08 11:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.53%EV -11.44%E -4.37%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.38%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.09%EV -12.15%E -4.02%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-08 11:44
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:45
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.23%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-08 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -15.49%E -6.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.65%E -6.37%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-08 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%9.1%2026-08-08 12:10