Language:English
Mito HollyHock v Gamba Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mito HollyHock (Local)
Prediction 36.61%2.73fair odd
EV +0.303%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.174%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.70%36.32%36.58%38.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.522.7441.67%39.23%39.68%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gamba Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV +3.38%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.35%34.43%34.09%36.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.703.0340.00%37.51%37.04%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd
EV -0.473%
Edge -0.139%
Kelly -0.197%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.46%29.26%29.33%30.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.153.4033.33%32.03%31.80%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mito HollyHock (Local): 36.61%; Gamba Osaka (Visit): 34.12%; Draw: 29.27%. For Gamba Osaka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV +3.38%E +1.12%K +1.67%G +0.056% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 08:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.88%EV -9.58%E -3.88%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 08:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV +0.303%E +0.111%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.24%EV -8.90%E -3.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -0.473%E -0.139%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.26%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.26%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.16%E -0.430%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |