Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mito HollyHock v Gamba Osaka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC

Score final : Mito HollyHock 1–1 Gamba Osaka

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mito HollyHock (Local)

Prévision 36.61%2.73cote équitable
EV +0.303%
Avantage +0.111%
Kelly +0.174%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.70%36.32%36.58%38.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.522.7441.67%39.23%39.68%36.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Gamba Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.12%2.93cote équitable
EV +3.38%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 3.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.35%34.43%34.09%36.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.672.703.0340.00%37.51%37.04%33.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.27%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.473%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.197%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.26%29.33%30.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.123.153.4033.33%32.03%31.80%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mito HollyHock (Local) : 36.61% ; Gamba Osaka (Visiteur) : 34.12% ; Match nul : 29.27%. Pour Gamba Osaka (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.93. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.03, soit une espérance positive de +3.38%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV +3.38%E +1.12%K +1.67%G +0.056%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 08:49
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 08:53
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 08:54
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 08:54
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:54
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 08:54
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:54
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 08:50
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:54
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 08:54
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.88%EV -9.58%E -3.88%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 08:53
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV +0.303%E +0.111%K +0.174%G +0.001%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.24%EV -8.90%E -3.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -0.473%E -0.139%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 08:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.26%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 08:49
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.26%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 08:49
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 08:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.16%E -0.430%K -0.683%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 08:55
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 08:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 08:19
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 08:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-15 08:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-15 08:55