Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mito HollyHock v Gamba Osaka

Inizio: 2026-08-15 09:00 UTC

Finale: Mito HollyHock 1–1 Gamba Osaka

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Mito HollyHock (Casa)

Previsione 36.61%2.73quota equa
EV +0.303%
Vantaggio +0.111%
Kelly +0.174%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.70%36.32%36.58%38.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.552.522.7441.67%39.23%39.68%36.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Gamba Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.12%2.93quota equa
EV +3.38%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.67%
Crescita +0.056%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.35%34.43%34.09%36.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.672.703.0340.00%37.51%37.04%33.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.27%3.42quota equa
EV -0.473%
Vantaggio -0.139%
Kelly -0.197%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.46%29.26%29.33%30.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.123.153.4033.33%32.03%31.80%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mito HollyHock (Casa): 36.61%; Gamba Osaka (Trasferta): 34.12%; Pareggio: 29.27%. Per Gamba Osaka (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.93. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.03, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.38%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV +3.38%E +1.12%K +1.67%G +0.056%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 08:49
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 08:53
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 08:54
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 08:54
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
BetAnything🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:34
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 08:54
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 08:54
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 08:54
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 08:50
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:54
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 08:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 08:54
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.88%EV -9.58%E -3.88%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 08:53
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV +0.303%E +0.111%K +0.174%G +0.001%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.24%EV -8.90%E -3.33%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -0.473%E -0.139%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 08:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 08:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.26%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 08:49
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.26%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 08:49
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 08:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.16%E -0.430%K -0.683%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 08:55
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 08:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 08:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 08:19
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 08:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-15 08:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-15 08:55
Smarkets◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49%1.2%2026-08-15 08:55