Idioma:Español
Mito HollyHock v Gamba Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mito HollyHock (Local)
Predicción 36.61%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.303%
Ventaja +0.111%
Kelly +0.174%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.70%36.32%36.58%38.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.552.522.7441.67%39.23%39.68%36.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gamba Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 34.12%2.93momio equitativo
EV +3.38%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.67%
Crecimiento +0.056%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.35%34.43%34.09%36.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.703.0340.00%37.51%37.04%33.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.27%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.473%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.197%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.26%29.33%30.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.123.153.4033.33%32.03%31.80%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Mito HollyHock (Local): 36.61%; Gamba Osaka (Visitante): 34.12%; Empate: 29.27%. Para Gamba Osaka (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.93. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.03, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.38%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV +3.38%E +1.12%K +1.67%G +0.056% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 08:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -8.08%E -2.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.46%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07%EV -3.36%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.86%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -3.40%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -6.65%E -2.61%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -6.17%E -2.24%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.33%EV -7.75%E -3.08%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.66%EV -7.19%E -2.64%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -10.72%E -3.51%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.88%EV -9.58%E -3.88%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 08:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.48%E -3.39%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -7.88%E -2.92%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV +0.303%E +0.111%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.24%EV -8.90%E -3.33%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -0.473%E -0.139%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 08:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -9.58%E -3.62%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.26%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.26%E -3.90%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -10.31%E -4.21%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -10.60%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -12.18%E -4.06%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 08:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -1.16%E -0.430%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.14%E -5.06%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -11.29%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -2.99%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.79%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -12.99%E -5.10%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.25%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -4.82%E -1.85%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -14.70%E -5.88%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.33%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.22% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.14% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |