Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kyoto Purple Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol

2026-09-11 10:00 UTC — J League

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)

Prediction 23.76%4.21fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.361%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%23.86%23.79%25.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.654.1628.57%26.58%27.40%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kashiwa Reysol (Visit)

Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV +0.717%
Edge +0.358%
Kelly +0.717%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%50.18%50.24%51.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.852.0057.14%53.26%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.16%25.96%25.97%27.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.453.7930.77%28.89%28.99%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 23.76%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visit): 50.36%; Draw: 25.88%. For Kashiwa Reysol (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.717%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV +0.717%E +0.358%K +0.717%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -12.02%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV +0.717%E +0.358%K +0.717%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -12.02%E -3.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -0.794%E -0.403%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -0.794%E -0.403%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:20
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -0.794%E -0.403%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.30%E -0.662%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.30%E -0.662%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.30%E -0.662%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.30%E -0.662%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.30%E -0.662%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.30%E -0.662%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -15.64%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -1.80%E -0.924%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -14.61%E -4.43%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -15.64%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -1.80%E -0.924%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -14.61%E -4.43%K -6.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -15.64%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -2.30%E -1.19%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -14.61%E -4.43%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 10:20
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.96%E -0.789%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 11:20
1xBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.31%EV -2.80%E -0.685%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.53%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.16%EV -1.93%E -0.508%K -0.690%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:09
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.55%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 14:00
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:20
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:05
Pinnacle🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 22.85%EV -1.14%E -0.274%K -0.361%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.66%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.49%EV -3.48%E -0.932%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 11:55
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.51%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 11:20
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.84%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 11:19
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:24
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -7.32%E -1.88%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.94%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.25%E -1.15%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 11:15
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.57%E -0.626%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 11:20
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.70%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -13.26%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.09%EV -10.36%E -5.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.43%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.45%E -4.01%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -11.37%E -6.46%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.72%E -3.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 24.24%EV -14.92%E -4.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.30%EV -11.37%E -6.46%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.46%EV -15.12%E -4.61%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-06 11:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -12.07%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -11.87%E -6.78%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -13.31%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 11:25
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -16.82%E -4.81%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%EV -11.87%E -6.78%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.90%E -4.89%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%9.0%2026-09-06 14:00
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 24.10%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.73%16.9%2026-09-06 11:25