Language:English
Kyoto Purple Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)
Prediction 23.53%4.25fair odd
EV +0.237%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.90%23.41%23.57%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.904.2627.78%25.67%25.64%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visit)
Prediction 50.90%1.96fair odd
EV -4.30%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.65%51.02%50.89%52.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.8857.80%55.08%54.95%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.57%3.91fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -0.733%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.76%25.57%25.54%26.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8329.41%27.81%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 23.53%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visit): 50.90%; Draw: 25.57%. For Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.237%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.41%EV +0.237%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 11:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.17%E -0.280%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -8.89%E -4.96%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.17%E -0.280%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.92%E -6.24%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -2.35%E -0.566%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.39%EV -7.87%E -4.35%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -2.07%E -0.542%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.16%EV -7.53%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.89%E -4.96%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -11.94%E -6.90%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.92%E -6.24%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.94%E -3.50%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -9.39%E -5.28%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.12%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -10.41%E -5.92%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |