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Kyoto Purple Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Хозяева)
Прогноз 23.53%4.25справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.237%
Преимущество +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.26
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.90%23.41%23.57%24.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.903.904.2627.78%25.67%25.64%23.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Kashiwa Reysol (Гости)
Прогноз 50.90%1.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.30%
Преимущество -2.29%
Kelly -4.89%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.88
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.65%51.02%50.89%52.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.821.821.8857.80%55.08%54.95%53.19%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.57%3.91справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.07%
Преимущество -0.542%
Kelly -0.733%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.76%25.57%25.54%26.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.603.603.8329.41%27.81%27.78%26.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Хозяева): 23.53%; Kashiwa Reysol (Гости): 50.90%; Ничья: 25.57%. Для исхода «Kyoto Purple Sanga (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.25. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.26, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.237%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.41%EV +0.237%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 11:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.17%E -0.280%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -8.89%E -4.96%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.17%E -0.280%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.92%E -6.24%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -2.35%E -0.566%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.39%EV -7.87%E -4.35%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -2.07%E -0.542%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.16%EV -7.53%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.89%E -4.96%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -11.94%E -6.90%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.92%E -6.24%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.94%E -3.50%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -9.39%E -5.28%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.12%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -10.41%E -5.92%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |