Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kyoto Purple Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-11 10:00 UTC

Score final : Kyoto Purple Sanga 2–3 Kashiwa Reysol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)

Prévision 23.53%4.25cote équitable
EV +0.237%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.90%23.41%23.57%24.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.904.2627.78%25.67%25.64%23.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.90%1.96cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -4.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.65%51.02%50.89%52.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.821.821.8857.80%55.08%54.95%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.57%3.91cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -0.733%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%25.57%25.54%26.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.603.603.8329.41%27.81%27.78%26.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local) : 23.53% ; Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur) : 50.90% ; Match nul : 25.57%. Pour Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.25. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.26, soit une espérance positive de +0.237%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯4.26I 23.47%NM 22.41%EV +0.237%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-08 11:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.17%E -0.280%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -8.89%E -4.96%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.17%E -0.280%K -0.367%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.92%E -6.24%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:33
Pinnacle🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -2.35%E -0.566%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.39%EV -7.87%E -4.35%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -2.07%E -0.542%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 08:49
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 14:00
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 10:00
Bovada🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 19:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 08:00
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:00
BetRivers🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 08:00
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 10:09
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 10:09
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 23.16%EV -7.53%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.89%E -4.96%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 10:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 10:00
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 19:44
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 19:45
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 08:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 08:00
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 08:00
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 08:00
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 08:00
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 08:00
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 12:10
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -11.94%E -6.90%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 10:05
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 10:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 08:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 08:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 08:00
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 18:15
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:15
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:24
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 10:10
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.92%E -6.24%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.94%E -3.50%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -9.39%E -5.28%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.12%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -10.41%E -5.92%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-07 10:09
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 10:05
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 18:15
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%3.0%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%3.0%2026-09-09 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%3.0%2026-09-09 17:11
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72%3.7%2026-09-09 17:11