Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kyoto Purple Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol

2026-09-11 10:00 UTC — J League

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)

Prévision 23.75%4.21cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.286%
Kelly -0.376%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.48%23.85%23.79%25.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.704.1628.57%26.49%27.03%24.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.33%1.99cote équitable
EV +0.666%
Avantage +0.333%
Kelly +0.666%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.72%50.16%50.24%51.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.881.852.0057.14%53.32%54.05%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.471%
Kelly -0.640%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.16%25.99%25.97%27.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.473.453.7930.77%28.83%28.99%26.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local) : 23.75% ; Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur) : 50.33% ; Match nul : 25.91%. Pour Kashiwa Reysol (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.99. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.00, pour une espérance positive de +0.666%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV +0.666%E +0.333%K +0.666%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV +0.666%E +0.333%K +0.666%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -11.89%E -3.50%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -0.844%E -0.428%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -0.844%E -0.428%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:20
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.83%EV -0.844%E -0.428%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.35%E -0.687%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.35%E -0.687%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.35%E -0.687%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.35%E -0.687%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.35%E -0.687%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -1.35%E -0.687%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -15.68%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -1.85%E -0.949%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -15.68%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -1.85%E -0.949%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -15.68%E -4.42%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -2.35%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 10:20
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -2.82%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 11:20
1xBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.31%EV -2.85%E -0.697%K -0.923%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.53%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.16%EV -1.79%E -0.471%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 14:15
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:20
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 13:05
Pinnacle🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 22.85%EV -1.19%E -0.286%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.66%EV -7.39%E -4.01%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.49%EV -3.34%E -0.895%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 11:55
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -7.39%E -4.01%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 11:20
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.05%EV -7.89%E -4.31%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 14:43
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.89%E -4.31%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 11:19
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.89%E -4.31%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:24
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -7.36%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.15%EV -8.39%E -4.61%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.90%E -4.92%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 11:15
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -2.61%E -0.638%K -0.843%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -9.40%E -5.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 11:20
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.40%E -5.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -13.30%E -3.64%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.09%EV -10.41%E -5.85%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -11.41%E -6.49%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 24.24%EV -14.97%E -4.18%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.30%EV -11.41%E -6.49%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.46%EV -15.00%E -4.57%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-06 11:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -12.12%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.12%EV -11.92%E -6.81%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.18%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 11:25
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -16.87%E -4.82%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.06%EV -11.92%E -6.81%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.78%E -4.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 22.41%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%7.0%2026-09-06 15:00
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 24.10%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.17%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.73%16.9%2026-09-06 11:25