Idioma:Español
Kyoto Purple Sanga v Kashiwa Reysol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local)
Predicción 23.53%4.25momio equitativo
EV +0.237%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.90%23.41%23.57%24.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.904.2627.78%25.67%25.64%23.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante)
Predicción 50.90%1.96momio equitativo
EV -4.30%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -4.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.65%51.02%50.89%52.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.821.821.8857.80%55.08%54.95%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.57%3.91momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.542%
Kelly -0.733%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.76%25.57%25.54%26.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.603.603.8329.41%27.81%27.78%26.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local): 23.53%; Kashiwa Reysol (Visitante): 50.90%; Empate: 25.57%. Para Kyoto Purple Sanga (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.25. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.26, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.237%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.41%EV +0.237%E +0.056%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.46%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -2.84%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-08 11:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.17%E -0.280%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.50%EV -8.89%E -4.96%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.13%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -1.17%E -0.280%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.92%E -6.24%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:33 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.85%EV -2.35%E -0.566%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.39%EV -7.87%E -4.35%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.76%EV -2.07%E -0.542%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.53%E -0.860%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.73%EV -4.30%E -2.29%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.88%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.25%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.63%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.68%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -7.06%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.10%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -13.07%E -3.84%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.16%EV -7.53%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.84%EV -8.89%E -4.96%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -4.12%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 10:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-07 19:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.36%E -4.04%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -8.23%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -11.94%E -6.90%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -9.41%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 08:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.83%E -3.15%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.40%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.07%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.23%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -6.85%E -3.74%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -10.59%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.92%E -6.24%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.96%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.94%E -3.50%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -9.39%E -5.28%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.12%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -10.41%E -5.92%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -11.79%E -3.42%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-07 10:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 10:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.29%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.38%E -4.65%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.51%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.31% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25% | 2.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54% | 3.0% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.72% | 3.7% | 2026-09-09 17:11 |