Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.56
assuming max odds 5.81
assuming max odds 4.51
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kawasaki Frontale (Local): 61.32%; JEF United Chiba (Visit): 17.26%; Draw: 21.42%. For JEF United Chiba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.271%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.32%EV +0.271%E +0.047%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.764%E -0.133%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 09:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -9.24%E -6.25%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -1.63%E -0.285%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 09:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -11.08%E -7.64%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -1.63%E -0.285%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.71%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.95%EV -1.97%E -0.347%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.34%EV -3.40%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -7.40%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -3.35%E -0.599%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.51%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -8.63%E -5.79%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 09:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.40%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.68%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.64%EV -9.24%E -6.25%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 09:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -10.47%E -7.17%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.26%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.32%EV -8.63%E -5.79%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -11.98%E -2.35%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 09:46 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.86%E -6.71%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.86%E -6.71%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 09:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.70%E -8.12%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 09:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 09:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 09:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46% | 1.3% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.21% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 09:55 |