Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kawasaki Frontale v JEF United Chiba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 10:00 UTC

Score final : Kawasaki Frontale 4–2 JEF United Chiba

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kawasaki Frontale (Local)

Prévision 61.32%1.63cote équitable
EV -4.34%
Avantage -2.78%
Kelly -7.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.63%61.27%61.36%63.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.531.5669.44%65.66%65.36%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

JEF United Chiba (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.26%5.79cote équitable
EV +0.271%
Avantage +0.047%
Kelly +0.056%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.14%17.30%17.22%19.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.155.005.8120.83%19.42%20.00%17.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.42%4.67cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -0.753%
Kelly -0.968%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.44%21.43%21.42%22.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.204.204.5125.00%23.79%23.81%22.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kawasaki Frontale (Local) : 61.32% ; JEF United Chiba (Visiteur) : 17.26% ; Match nul : 21.42%. Pour JEF United Chiba (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.79. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.81, soit une espérance positive de +0.271%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.32%EV +0.271%E +0.047%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:50
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.764%E -0.133%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 09:16
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -9.24%E -6.25%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -1.63%E -0.285%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 09:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -11.08%E -7.64%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -1.63%E -0.285%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:46
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.71%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.95%EV -1.97%E -0.347%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.34%EV -3.40%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -7.40%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -3.35%E -0.599%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 09:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 09:46
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.51%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 09:46
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 09:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 09:50
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -8.63%E -5.79%K -17.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.40%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.68%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.64%EV -9.24%E -6.25%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 09:47
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -10.47%E -7.17%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 09:46
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 09:15
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.26%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.32%EV -8.63%E -5.79%K -17.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -11.98%E -2.35%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 09:46
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:46
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:46
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.86%E -6.71%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.86%E -6.71%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 09:50
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.70%E -8.12%K -26.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:05
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-08-29 09:55
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-08-29 09:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.21%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-29 09:55