默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kawasaki Frontale v JEF United Chiba

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 10:00 UTC

最终结果: Kawasaki Frontale 4–2 JEF United Chiba

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kawasaki Frontale (主队)

预测 61.32%1.63公平赔率
EV -4.34%
优势 -2.78%
Kelly -7.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布
58.63%61.27%61.36%63.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.521.531.5669.44%65.66%65.36%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

JEF United Chiba (客队)

预测 17.26%5.79公平赔率
EV +0.271%
优势 +0.047%
Kelly +0.056%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.81

博彩公司预测分布
16.14%17.30%17.22%19.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.155.005.8120.83%19.42%20.00%17.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.42%4.67公平赔率
EV -3.40%
优势 -0.753%
Kelly -0.968%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.51

博彩公司预测分布
20.44%21.43%21.42%22.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.204.204.5125.00%23.79%23.81%22.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kawasaki Frontale (主队):61.32%;JEF United Chiba (客队):17.26%;平局:21.42%。 对于“JEF United Chiba (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.79。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.81,对应+0.271%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.78%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.32%EV +0.271%E +0.047%K +0.056%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -11.32%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 09:50
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -0.764%E -0.133%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 09:16
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.66%EV -9.24%E -6.25%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.27%EV -1.63%E -0.285%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 09:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.43%EV -11.08%E -7.64%K -24.63%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.14%EV -1.63%E -0.285%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:46
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.71%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.95%EV -1.97%E -0.347%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.34%EV -3.40%E -0.753%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.70%EV -7.40%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.64%EV -3.35%E -0.599%K -0.729%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 09:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 09:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 09:46
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.26%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -3.61%E -0.802%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.51%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%EV -6.82%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 09:46
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -6.79%E -4.47%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 09:50
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 09:50
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.67%EV -8.63%E -5.79%K -17.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -5.08%E -0.923%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 09:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.77%EV -7.40%E -4.90%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -4.68%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.64%EV -9.24%E -6.25%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -8.97%E -2.11%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 09:47
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.81%EV -10.47%E -7.17%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -6.80%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 09:46
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -7.25%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.71%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -7.89%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 09:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -9.39%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 09:15
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -5.56%E -3.61%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -10.26%E -1.97%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 09:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.32%EV -8.63%E -5.79%K -17.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -11.98%E -2.35%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -5.75%E -1.31%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 09:46
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:46
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.18%E -4.04%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 09:46
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 09:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.86%E -6.71%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 09:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -9.86%E -6.71%K -20.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 09:50
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.70%E -8.12%K -26.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.71%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.18%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.84%EV -15.43%E -3.15%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -10.04%E -2.39%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:05
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -4.34%E -2.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -4.95%E -3.19%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -12.18%E -2.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:10
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -8.02%E -5.34%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -17.16%E -3.57%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.32%E -3.58%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 09:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-29 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-08-29 09:55
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.7%2026-08-29 09:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-08-29 09:55
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.21%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-08-29 09:55