Language:English
Kashiwa Reysol v V-Varen Nagasaki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashiwa Reysol (Local)
Prediction 64.53%1.55fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -7.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.32%64.54%64.49%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.431.431.4971.94%69.83%69.93%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit)
Prediction 14.28%7.00fair odd
EV +3.54%
Edge +0.488%
Kelly +0.566%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.08%14.25%14.30%16.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.316.257.2518.18%15.86%16.00%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.19%4.72fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -0.767%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.38%21.21%21.20%22.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.304.324.5925.00%23.23%23.12%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 64.53%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit): 14.28%; Draw: 21.19%. For V-Varen Nagasaki (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +3.54%E +0.488%K +0.566%G +0.020% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -0.034%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 06:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.85%E -2.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.94I 14.41%NM 13.72%EV -0.891%E -0.128%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.36%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.92%EV -1.18%E -0.170%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.99%EV -2.75%E -0.600%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -3.60%E -0.534%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -5.03%E -0.757%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 09:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.27%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.76%EV -10.30%E -7.41%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 09:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 06:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 06:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 06:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-21 09:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.98%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -15.74%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -17.89%E -3.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.94% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-21 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 08:40 |