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Kashiwa Reysol v V-Varen Nagasaki
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Kashiwa Reysol (Хозяева)
Прогноз 64.53%1.55справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.85%
Преимущество -2.58%
Kelly -7.85%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.49
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
62.32%64.54%64.49%65.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.391.431.431.4971.94%69.83%69.93%67.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
V-Varen Nagasaki (Гости)
Прогноз 14.28%7.00справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.54%
Преимущество +0.488%
Kelly +0.566%
Рост +0.020%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.08%14.25%14.30%16.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.506.316.257.2518.18%15.86%16.00%13.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.19%4.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.75%
Преимущество -0.600%
Kelly -0.767%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.59
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.38%21.21%21.20%22.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.304.324.5925.00%23.23%23.12%21.79%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Kashiwa Reysol (Хозяева): 64.53%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Гости): 14.28%; Ничья: 21.19%. Для исхода «V-Varen Nagasaki (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.00. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.54%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +3.54%E +0.488%K +0.566%G +0.020% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -0.034%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 06:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.85%E -2.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.94I 14.41%NM 13.72%EV -0.891%E -0.128%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.36%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.92I 14.45%NM 13.92%EV -1.18%E -0.170%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.99%EV -2.75%E -0.600%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-21 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -3.60%E -0.534%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -5.03%E -0.757%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 09:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.27%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.76%EV -10.30%E -7.41%K -26.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 09:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 09:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-21 09:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 06:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 06:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 06:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 06:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 09:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 09:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-21 09:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-21 09:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.98%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -15.74%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -17.89%E -3.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 09:54 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.94% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-21 09:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 08:40 |