Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kashiwa Reysol v V-Varen Nagasaki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-21 10:00 UTC

Score final : Kashiwa Reysol 4–2 V-Varen Nagasaki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kashiwa Reysol (Local)

Prévision 64.53%1.55cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -2.58%
Kelly -7.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.32%64.54%64.49%65.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.391.431.431.4971.94%69.83%69.93%67.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.28%7.00cote équitable
EV +3.54%
Avantage +0.488%
Kelly +0.566%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 7.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.08%14.25%14.30%16.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.316.257.2518.18%15.86%16.00%13.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.19%4.72cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.600%
Kelly -0.767%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.38%21.21%21.20%22.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.304.324.5925.00%23.23%23.12%21.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kashiwa Reysol (Local) : 64.53% ; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visiteur) : 14.28% ; Match nul : 21.19%. Pour V-Varen Nagasaki (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.00. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +3.54%E +0.488%K +0.566%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -0.034%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 06:54
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.85%E -2.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.72%EV -0.891%E -0.128%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.36%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.92%EV -1.18%E -0.170%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.99%EV -2.75%E -0.600%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 09:50
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -3.60%E -0.534%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 09:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -5.03%E -0.757%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 09:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 09:54
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 09:54
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 09:45
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 09:39
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 08:20
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 09:40
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 09:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.27%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 09:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.76%EV -10.30%E -7.41%K -26.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 09:40
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 09:43
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 09:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:10
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:09
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 06:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 06:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 06:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 09:39
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 09:45
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.98%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -15.74%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -17.89%E -3.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 09:55
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 09:54
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 09:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-08-21 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-08-21 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-08-21 09:55
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-08-21 09:55
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.94%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-08-21 09:50
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-08-21 08:40