Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kashiwa Reysol v V-Varen Nagasaki

Início: 2026-08-21 10:00 UTC

Final: Kashiwa Reysol 4–2 V-Varen Nagasaki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kashiwa Reysol (Local)

Previsão 64.53%1.55odd justa
EV -3.85%
Vantagem -2.58%
Kelly -7.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.32%64.54%64.49%65.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.391.431.431.4971.94%69.83%69.93%67.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

V-Varen Nagasaki (Visitante)

Previsão 14.28%7.00odd justa
EV +3.54%
Vantagem +0.488%
Kelly +0.566%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.08%14.25%14.30%16.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.506.316.257.2518.18%15.86%16.00%13.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.19%4.72odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -0.600%
Kelly -0.767%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.38%21.21%21.20%22.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.304.324.5925.00%23.23%23.12%21.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kashiwa Reysol (Local): 64.53%; V-Varen Nagasaki (Visitante): 14.28%; Empate: 21.19%. Para V-Varen Nagasaki (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.00. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.54%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.85%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV +3.54%E +0.488%K +0.566%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 09:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -0.034%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 06:54
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -3.85%E -2.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.72%EV -0.891%E -0.128%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.36%EV -9.74%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-21 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -4.49%E -3.04%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.92I 14.45%NM 13.92%EV -1.18%E -0.170%K -0.199%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.99%EV -2.75%E -0.600%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-21 09:50
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.91%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -3.60%E -0.534%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 09:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -5.03%E -0.757%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 09:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 09:54
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.54%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -5.75%E -0.871%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 09:54
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.40%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.04%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-21 09:45
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 09:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.25%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 09:39
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.25%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 08:20
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 09:40
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 09:40
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 09:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.73%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -7.17%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-21 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 09:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.43%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.40%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.18%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-21 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.27%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.26%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 09:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.59%EV -9.01%E -6.39%K -21.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:43
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.76%EV -10.30%E -7.41%K -26.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.06%EV -8.60%E -1.34%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 09:40
Bovada🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 09:43
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.40%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.71%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 09:55
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:10
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:09
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.20%EV -7.72%E -5.40%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.69%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -7.84%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 09:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.21%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.75%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-21 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -8.36%E -5.89%K -19.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-21 09:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 06:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 06:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 06:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 09:39
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 09:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-21 09:45
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -14.32%E -2.39%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.25%E -3.81%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-21 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.98%EV -9.65%E -6.90%K -24.14%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -15.74%E -2.67%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -17.89%E -3.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-21 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 09:55
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 09:54
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -21.46%E -3.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-21 09:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-08-21 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-08-21 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-08-21 09:55
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-08-21 09:55
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.94%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-08-21 09:50
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-08-21 08:40