Language:English
Kashima Antlers v Avispa Fukuoka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kashima Antlers (Local)
Prediction 49.04%2.04fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.03%49.44%48.94%53.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.851.9657.80%54.36%54.05%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avispa Fukuoka (Visit)
Prediction 21.95%4.56fair odd
EV +9.74%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +2.43%
Growth +0.237%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.50%21.65%21.99%22.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.394.405.0025.64%22.76%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.01%3.45fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.571%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.86%28.91%29.07%30.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.11%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kashima Antlers (Local): 49.04%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visit): 21.95%; Draw: 29.01%. For Avispa Fukuoka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 16:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.38%EV +2.49%E +0.534%K +0.679%G +0.017% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 08:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 08:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.24%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.78%EV -2.77%E -0.626%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.98%EV -3.40%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 08:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -10.25%E -5.60%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.63%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 08:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.89%EV -9.76%E -5.30%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 08:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.97%E -4.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.92%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.92%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 08:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 08:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.78%EV -8.78%E -4.72%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.08%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 08:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -10.74%E -5.90%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 08:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -10.25%E -5.60%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -7.80%E -4.15%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 08:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 08:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 08:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.97%E -4.32%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -9.76%E -5.30%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -14.41%E -3.69%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 08:55 |