Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kashima Antlers v Avispa Fukuoka

Início: 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC

Final: Kashima Antlers 3–2 Avispa Fukuoka

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kashima Antlers (Local)

Previsão 49.04%2.04odd justa
EV -3.87%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -4.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.03%49.44%48.94%53.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.841.851.9657.80%54.36%54.05%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante)

Previsão 21.95%4.56odd justa
EV +9.74%
Vantagem +1.95%
Kelly +2.43%
Crescimento +0.237%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.50%21.65%21.99%22.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.904.394.405.0025.64%22.76%22.73%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.01%3.45odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.403%
Kelly -0.571%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.86%28.91%29.07%30.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.11%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kashima Antlers (Local): 49.04%; Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante): 21.95%; Empate: 29.01%. Para Avispa Fukuoka (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.56. 19 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.74%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 16:14
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:09
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.38%EV +2.49%E +0.534%K +0.679%G +0.017%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 08:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 08:09
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.24%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.78%EV -2.77%E -0.626%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.98%EV -3.40%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:35
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 08:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -10.25%E -5.60%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.63%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 08:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 08:24
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.89%EV -9.76%E -5.30%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 08:24
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.97%E -4.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 08:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.92%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 08:54
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.92%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 08:24
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.78%EV -8.78%E -4.72%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.08%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 08:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -10.74%E -5.90%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -10.25%E -5.60%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -7.80%E -4.15%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 08:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:24
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:24
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.97%E -4.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 08:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -9.76%E -5.30%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -14.41%E -3.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 08:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-08-22 08:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-08-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-08-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-08-22 08:55
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31%1.8%2026-08-22 08:50
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-08-22 08:55