Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kashima Antlers v Avispa Fukuoka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC

Score final : Kashima Antlers 3–2 Avispa Fukuoka

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kashima Antlers (Local)

Prévision 49.04%2.04cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.98%
Kelly -4.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.03%49.44%48.94%53.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.841.851.9657.80%54.36%54.05%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Avispa Fukuoka (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.95%4.56cote équitable
EV +9.74%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +2.43%
Croissance +0.237%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.50%21.65%21.99%22.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.394.405.0025.64%22.76%22.73%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.01%3.45cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.571%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.86%28.91%29.07%30.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.11%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kashima Antlers (Local) : 49.04% ; Avispa Fukuoka (Visiteur) : 21.95% ; Match nul : 29.01%. Pour Avispa Fukuoka (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.56. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +9.74%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 16:14
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -15.15%E -8.76%K -20.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +9.74%E +1.95%K +2.43%G +0.237%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 16:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:09
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -12.70%E -7.14%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -13.68%E -7.77%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV +3.15%E +0.671%K +0.852%G +0.027%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:09
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.31%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.38%EV +2.49%E +0.534%K +0.679%G +0.017%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 08:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.26%EV -14.66%E -8.43%K -19.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV +0.957%E +0.208%K +0.266%G +0.003%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 08:09
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.24%EV -3.87%E -1.98%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.78%EV -2.77%E -0.626%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.98%EV -3.40%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-22 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:35
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.98%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.48%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 08:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -10.25%E -5.60%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -3.43%E -0.780%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -5.63%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 08:45
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 08:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 08:24
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.89%EV -9.76%E -5.30%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 08:24
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 08:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.82%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.29%E -4.43%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -7.82%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -12.97%E -4.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 08:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -5.34%E -2.77%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.92%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 08:54
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.22%EV -8.92%E -2.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 08:54
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -6.33%E -3.31%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 08:24
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.13%EV -5.84%E -3.04%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%EV -6.82%E -3.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.78%EV -8.78%E -4.72%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.08%EV -9.49%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 08:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69%EV -10.74%E -5.90%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -10.25%E -5.60%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.60%EV -7.80%E -4.15%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 08:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:24
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 08:24
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.27%E -5.01%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.21%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.97%E -4.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 08:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.64%EV -9.76%E -5.30%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -14.41%E -3.69%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.62%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 08:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-08-22 08:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-08-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-08-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.22%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-08-22 08:55
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.31%1.8%2026-08-22 08:50
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-08-22 08:55