Language:English
JEF United Chiba v FC Machida Zelvia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
JEF United Chiba (Local)
Prediction 19.11%5.23fair odd
EV +4.89%
Edge +0.891%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 5.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.59%19.37%19.01%23.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.674.755.4925.00%21.40%21.05%18.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Machida Zelvia (Visit)
Prediction 54.11%1.85fair odd
EV +4.43%
Edge +2.30%
Kelly +4.76%
Growth +0.211%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.37%53.78%54.25%55.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.721.721.9360.98%58.02%58.14%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%26.85%26.75%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.423.453.6330.30%29.21%28.99%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: JEF United Chiba (Local): 19.11%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visit): 54.11%; Draw: 26.78%. For JEF United Chiba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -23.57%E -5.89%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV +4.43%E +2.30%K +4.76%G +0.211% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -1.52%E -0.836%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -1.52%E -0.836%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.05%EV -4.85%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.92%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.59%EV +4.89%E +0.891%K +1.09%G +0.053% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.81%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.77%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -12.11%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -2.56%E -0.501%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -5.42%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.647%E -0.124%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.73%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -9.10%E -5.41%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.11%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.20%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.56%EV -8.40%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.57%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |