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JEF United Chiba v FC Machida Zelvia
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
JEF United Chiba (Хозяева)
Прогноз 19.11%5.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.89%
Преимущество +0.891%
Kelly +1.09%
Рост +0.053%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.49
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.59%19.37%19.01%23.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.674.755.4925.00%21.40%21.05%18.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
FC Machida Zelvia (Гости)
Прогноз 54.11%1.85справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.43%
Преимущество +2.30%
Kelly +4.76%
Рост +0.211%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.93
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
48.37%53.78%54.25%55.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.641.721.721.9360.98%58.02%58.14%51.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.78%3.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.77%
Преимущество -0.764%
Kelly -1.05%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.63
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.84%26.85%26.75%28.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.423.453.6330.30%29.21%28.99%27.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: JEF United Chiba (Хозяева): 19.11%; FC Machida Zelvia (Гости): 54.11%; Ничья: 26.78%. Для исхода «JEF United Chiba (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.23. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.49, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.89%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -23.57%E -5.89%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV +4.43%E +2.30%K +4.76%G +0.211% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -1.52%E -0.836%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -1.52%E -0.836%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.05%EV -4.85%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.92%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.59%EV +4.89%E +0.891%K +1.09%G +0.053% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.81%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.77%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -12.11%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -2.56%E -0.501%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -5.42%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.647%E -0.124%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.73%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -9.10%E -5.41%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.11%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.20%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.56%EV -8.40%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.57%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:24 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |