Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

JEF United Chiba v FC Machida Zelvia

Início: 2026-08-15 10:00 UTC

Final: JEF United Chiba 0–4 FC Machida Zelvia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

JEF United Chiba (Local)

Previsão 19.11%5.23odd justa
EV +4.89%
Vantagem +0.891%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.053%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.59%19.37%19.01%23.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.674.755.4925.00%21.40%21.05%18.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante)

Previsão 54.11%1.85odd justa
EV +4.43%
Vantagem +2.30%
Kelly +4.76%
Crescimento +0.211%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.37%53.78%54.25%55.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.721.721.9360.98%58.02%58.14%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.78%3.73odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -0.764%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.84%26.85%26.75%28.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.423.453.6330.30%29.21%28.99%27.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: JEF United Chiba (Local): 19.11%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante): 54.11%; Empate: 26.78%. Para JEF United Chiba (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.23. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.49, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -23.57%E -5.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV +4.43%E +2.30%K +4.76%G +0.211%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -1.52%E -0.836%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 09:44
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -1.52%E -0.836%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 09:44
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:49
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:04
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:04
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:04
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 09:04
1xBet🎯4.98I 20.08%NM 19.05%EV -4.85%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:55
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.92%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 09:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 09:04
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 09:04
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 09:05
Pinnacle🎯5.49I 18.21%NM 17.59%EV +4.89%E +0.891%K +1.09%G +0.053%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.81%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.77%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 09:45
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 09:55
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -12.11%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 08:59
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 09:34
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 09:45
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 08:59
BetMGM🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:14
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 09:14
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -2.56%E -0.501%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 09:44
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -5.42%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 09:23
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 08:49
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:54
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 09:55
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.647%E -0.124%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.73%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 09:43
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -9.10%E -5.41%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 09:54
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 09:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 09:49
Sky Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.11%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 09:44
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:15
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 09:14
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.20%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.56%EV -8.40%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 09:34
Unibet (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.57%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 09:34
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 09:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-08-15 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-08-15 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-08-15 09:55
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-08-15 09:55
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31%1.4%2026-08-15 09:55
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.2%2026-08-15 09:35