Idioma:Español
JEF United Chiba v FC Machida Zelvia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
JEF United Chiba (Local)
Predicción 19.11%5.23momio equitativo
EV +4.89%
Ventaja +0.891%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.053%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.59%19.37%19.01%23.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.674.755.4925.00%21.40%21.05%18.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante)
Predicción 54.11%1.85momio equitativo
EV +4.43%
Ventaja +2.30%
Kelly +4.76%
Crecimiento +0.211%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.37%53.78%54.25%55.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.721.721.9360.98%58.02%58.14%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.78%3.73momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.764%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.84%26.85%26.75%28.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.423.453.6330.30%29.21%28.99%27.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: JEF United Chiba (Local): 19.11%; FC Machida Zelvia (Visitante): 54.11%; Empate: 26.78%. Para JEF United Chiba (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.23. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.49, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.89%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -23.57%E -5.89%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV +4.43%E +2.30%K +4.76%G +0.211% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -1.52%E -0.836%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.45%EV -1.52%E -0.836%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.50%EV -3.69%E -2.07%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.21%EV -4.23%E -2.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -15.93%E -3.62%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.35%EV -4.77%E -2.71%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.05%EV -4.85%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -3.84%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.40%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.92%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -16.89%E -3.88%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 09:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.59%EV +4.89%E +0.891%K +1.09%G +0.053% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.81%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -2.77%E -0.764%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -12.11%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -6.39%E -3.69%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.48%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.06%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 09:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -6.93%E -4.03%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.47%E -0.894%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -2.56%E -0.501%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.63%EV -5.42%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.25%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 09:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.29%E -1.73%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.01%E -4.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.647%E -0.124%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.73%EV -8.56%E -5.06%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 09:43 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -9.10%E -5.41%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.38%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -9.24%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.11%E -2.63%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 09:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -9.64%E -5.77%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 09:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -10.20%E -2.17%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.72%EV -10.18%E -6.13%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.56%EV -8.40%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.57%EV -7.33%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.93%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -14.02%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.35%EV -11.26%E -6.87%K -17.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 09:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22% | 0.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.31% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |