Language:English
Gamba Osaka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka (Local)
Prediction 21.68%4.61fair odd
EV -0.258%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.072%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.18%21.65%21.66%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.294.304.6025.00%23.31%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit)
Prediction 55.33%1.81fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%55.44%55.31%58.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.671.7764.10%60.39%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV -0.012%
Edge -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.62%22.91%23.03%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.034.004.3526.67%24.82%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gamba Osaka (Local): 21.68%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visit): 55.33%; Draw: 22.99%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.351. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.350, with an expected value of -0.012%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.258%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.258%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -13.13%E -8.36%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -13.13%E -8.36%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -13.68%E -8.77%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.81%EV -4.16%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.04%EV -4.83%E -2.81%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.76%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.73%EV -2.06%E -1.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -5.38%E -3.15%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -5.38%E -3.15%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 08:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 08:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.15%E -4.91%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.63%EV -9.26%E -5.64%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 08:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |