Idioma:Español
Gamba Osaka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gamba Osaka (Local)
Predicción 21.68%4.61momio equitativo
EV -0.258%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.072%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.18%21.65%21.66%22.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.294.304.6025.00%23.31%23.26%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante)
Predicción 55.33%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.68%55.44%55.31%58.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.661.671.7764.10%60.39%59.88%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.99%4.35momio equitativo
EV -0.012%
Ventaja -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.62%22.91%23.03%24.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.034.004.3526.67%24.82%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gamba Osaka (Local): 21.68%; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visitante): 55.33%; Empate: 22.99%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.351. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.350, con un valor esperado de -0.012%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.258%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.258%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -13.13%E -8.36%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -13.13%E -8.36%K -23.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -13.68%E -8.77%K -24.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 08:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.81%EV -4.16%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.04%EV -4.83%E -2.81%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 08:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.76%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.73%EV -2.06%E -1.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -5.38%E -3.15%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -5.38%E -3.15%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 08:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 08:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.15%E -4.91%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.63%EV -9.26%E -5.64%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-29 08:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 08:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 08:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 08:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 08:55 |