Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gamba Osaka v Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 09:00 UTC

Score final : Gamba Osaka 0–0 Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gamba Osaka (Local)

Prévision 21.68%4.61cote équitable
EV -0.258%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.072%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.18%21.65%21.66%22.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.294.304.6025.00%23.31%23.26%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.33%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.68%55.44%55.31%58.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.661.671.7764.10%60.39%59.88%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.99%4.35cote équitable
EV -0.012%
Avantage -0.003%
Kelly -0.004%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.62%22.91%23.03%24.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.034.004.3526.67%24.82%25.00%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gamba Osaka (Local) : 21.68% ; Hiroshima Sanfrecce FC (Visiteur) : 55.33% ; Match nul : 22.99%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.351. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.350, pour une espérance de -0.012% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.258%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.258%E -0.056%K -0.072%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.69%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 08:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 08:10
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -2.31%E -0.544%K -0.711%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -11.47%E -7.17%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -13.13%E -8.36%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -13.13%E -8.36%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -2.43%E -0.539%K -0.693%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -13.68%E -8.77%K -24.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 08:10
Pinnacle🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.81%EV -4.16%E -0.941%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.04%EV -4.83%E -2.81%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.16%EV -0.012%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 08:50
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.67%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 08:30
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.21%E -2.33%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 08:45
1xBet🎯4.37I 22.88%NM 21.76%EV -5.24%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.73%EV -2.06%E -1.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.52%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.07%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.43%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 08:44
Betsson🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -5.68%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 08:55
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -4.28%E -2.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 08:55
DraftKings🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -5.38%E -3.15%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.46%E -0.824%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 08:45
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -5.38%E -3.15%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 08:55
Bovada🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.76%E -1.40%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 08:45
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 08:05
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.56%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 08:34
PlayUp🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -5.94%E -3.49%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.45%EV -10.82%E -2.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 08:34
Unibet (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -7.85%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.50%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -11.50%E -2.99%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 08:36
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -6.49%E -3.84%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 08:36
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.95%EV -8.15%E -4.91%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.06%E -2.01%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-29 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 08:55
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 08:55
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 08:55
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:35
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -7.60%E -4.55%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.80%E -3.68%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.63%EV -9.26%E -5.64%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -10.36%E -2.66%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-29 08:35
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -13.27%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.61%EV -10.36%E -6.40%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.65%E -3.33%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 08:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-29 08:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-29 08:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-29 08:40
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-08-29 08:36
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-08-29 08:50
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-08-29 08:55